Rasmussen (10/7, likely voters, 9/16 in parens)
Jim Martin (D): 44 (43)
Saxby Chambliss (R-inc): 50 (50)
Allen Buckley (L): 2
(MoE: ±4.5%)
As we’ve seen in recent polls from SUSA, Reserach 2000, and the Mellman Group, this race is stunningly close. Some might call this “striking distance”. However, Martin will still need some help to capitalize on this opportunity.
Daily Kos just gave Martin the “Orange to Blue” treatment today. Let’s hope the that the DSCC will hop on the Jim Martin Express soon, too.
Bonus finding: McCain leads Obama by 54-45 according to the same poll. That’s down slightly from 54-43 last month.
I want to win this race soooo bad. Come on DSCC, please go for broke in Georgia.
They have 99% (!) of African-Americans supporting Obama, and 28% of whites supporting him; 70% of whites support McCain.
And yet, Obama only has 45% of the vote, versus 54% for McCain.
Those numbers work out to a sample ~24% African-American, 76% white. In comparison, via 538, African-Americans were 25.4% of the electorate in 2004, and they are currently 29% of registered voters. If they turn out in that amount, then McCain wins by only 1.5%, and Martin probably wins easily.
Go all out in Georiga.
Early voting has started, hit hard now!
via the ActBlue link because of the DKos posting. My estranged brother lives in Alpharetta and I would love to give him heartburn the morning after the election as he wakes up to the reality of a Sen. Jim Martin of Georgia. Besides, if we take Georgia, we will have that filibuster proof majority that will come in so handy next time there is a vacancy on the Supreme Court.
obama’s nominee? 😉